
Are we at Peak Smartphone?
You know, smartphones are all kind of the same. I think we’re at peak smartphone, it seems like every new phone coming out. These days is basically the same as the last one, with some minor tweaks and there’s. No big revolutionary jumps anymore and there’s almost never a good reason to spend a thousand dollars on this year’s phone. When you already have last year’s thousand dollar phone, so yeah, maybe we’ve reached peak smartphone. So I see all this and as the guy that’s been in the smartphone world for a while been reviewing them for a long time. I felt the need to chime in so I’ll give my two cents. The answer to the question have we reached peak smartphone? Is yes, but no you see everything, you’re thinking and seeing I’m also thinking and seeing too it’s all true. Yes, we are seeing less big revolutionary jumps in smart phones. Yes, there are less crazy, never before seen features in phones year over year and yeah. It seems like the functionality and the form factor have all sort of evolved into just we all have glass rectangles. Now, glass, sandwiches: this is what we call a mature market. We’Ve seen this before. You always have the greatest rate of change at the beginning of the curve and then, as you, reach the ideal or peak smartphone, it sort of slows down and doesn’t change that much year over year, but that’s not to say we don’t get some seriously impressive improvements.
Every single year, so rewinding a bit at the beginning of smartphones in say the early 2000s. There were constant, big new changes and features that were literally revolutionary. We had the first phones with a glass touchscreen and the first phones with multi touch that’s. When we had the first time they ever put a camera on the back and the front of the phone that’s. The first phones with an app store. The first phones with desktop class web browsers, like it, was just milestone after milestone after pillar after pillar in a smartphone world, and it was more than just the new hardware features. It was what these new hardware features enabled smartphone photography, video chat real time, multiplayer gaming. I mean it. The list goes on so now it’s easy when you fast forward all the way to the iPhone 11. Next to the iPhone 10 R, it seems like they’re, almost the same phone. At a glance, I mean we’re all these glass rectangles anyway, but I think if you zoom that far in you start to ignore and lose track of the outer edges and the peripheral that are still pushing things forward and still enabling new things and it’s oftentimes, not As drastic or as fundamental as it used to be, but it’s real for some examples in the past two years, we’ve recently gotten ultra wide angle, lenses for wide photography and videos that don’t need a separate camera or add on lens.
We got in portrait mode, we’ve, gotten high refresh rates and new backlight technology on display as that’s more efficient and that reduced the latency of the interface and make everything feel significantly smoother than it ever has. Computational photography is another big one, it’s taken major strides in the last couple years, with incredible HDR, with the real time previews combining multiple frames into one composited image nearly instantly with a single tap of a shutter button, and with that and a few new night modes Photos that were literally impossible a few years ago are now just effortless on the latest phones, fingerprint readers are under the displays. 65 watt fast chargers bring a battery from 0 100 in half an hour and yeah phones literally fold in half. Now, not just like. Flip phones of the past, but there’s a whole first generation of fitting a larger display in your pocket than you ever could before, because the displays are flexible, along with the devices built around them, there’s even more on the horizon that we’re looking forward to the cameras In the front going behind the display glass, we look forward to wireless charging, getting better wireless audio, getting better 5g, just to name a few so here’s. Another version of that question to consider. Have we reached peak car it’s, actually a very similar question and when you zoom out again going from not having cars to having automobiles suddenly? Was this massive step and every new piece that was added every new feature was a major game change that I could drive this young new product category forward so long ago.
Now, though, in 2019, what is a car really? I mean they all have four wheels. They all have an engine in the front and a trunk in the back and a steering wheel and some seats right. So, are we at peak car I mean yeah, you can say we’re at peak car we’ve done the same curve and we’ve plateaued the same way, but you have to be careful not to ignore all the newest bleeding edge innovations and all the things that are enabled From them, specifically the electric car revolution and what that means for sustainability, what that means for autonomy? What that means for performance? You know the rivey and r1t and the quad motor tank turn what that means for features Tesla’s worldwide supercharging network and everything that is the cyber truck. So you have to say: we’re at peak car is technically true. We’Ve done the same. Plateau we’ve seen the curve, but it still ignores a lot of the most exciting revolutionary parts of that industry and so to say: we’ve reached peak smartphone same thing, it’s technically, true, yes, but I think when you say that you start to ignore all the crazy newest Stuff we’ve gotten the the computational photography, the bezel is OLED displays and the whole folding and half thing here is a the ridiculous rumoured spec list of the galaxy s 20 ultra coming up a huge 120 Hertz AMOLED display edge to edge a snapdragon 865 and up To 16 gigs of ram half a terabyte of flash storage with the micro SD card, so expandable up to another terabyte, a 5000 milliamp hour wireless and fast charging battery and a hundred and eight megapixel primary camera and four others and that’s, not to mention whatever other Stuff they’re building into the software, which can also enhance and improve the experience and enable new things like not any single.
One of these things is drastically new by itself, and none of these specs will individually enable you to do anything crazy, knew that you couldn’t do before and your smartphone, but that combination of specs all in one place, all in one phone is new and if you Show that spec sheet to someone literally just three years ago, they’d probably tell you it was impossible. So when people ask, are we at peak smartphone right now? Yes, but no we’ve clearly reached a point where people don’t need to buy a new thousand dollar phone. Every single year over a year and we’ve reached a point where software updates are getting better phones just last longer. Now people can use a three or four year old phone and do everything is still need to without upgrading to the bleeding edge stuff. But don’t forget about that bleeding edge, don’t forget about galaxy fold or the cyber truck. You know that’s still happening don’t. Let that plateau make you ignore all the incredible innovations still happening in these industries that are driving us forward or you might miss it.
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Absolutely, phones are so wack now, they're literally all the same. Nobody gives a shit if its 0.2 seconds faster, quit selling the same bullshit.
Yea Iโve realized itโs felt the same
To be honest I didnt even need to finish the video to get the idea. (Not bashing it or anything. Still finished it .) Smart phones are an unfinished technology. What ever the future holds for smart phones I'm excited. Cause it can only get more advanced from here ๐
At this point phones have more ram than my computer
Battery technology is something which has not improved yet. We have only seen Li-ion or Li-polymer batteries and their increase in capacity. But no new technology. eg. displays we first had LCD, then LED, then LED 120Hz and so on.same goes for software, camera etc.
there will never be a peak in a literal sense. 10 years from now Samsung will release an origami phone but basically, phones today are enough (peak) for any reasonable need.
I knew he would say yesss…. But no. ๐๐
Peak smartphone is current phone stats in Iphone 5 body, but waterproof.
To me us older guys seem to know most kids want a social app only kids could use, no adults! Seems like a social app service app maker could do that!
I don't know why but
THIS MAKES ME "SAD " ๐
The average consumers donโt care about specs like Marques and other tech people do. So a phone being faster (to dumb it down) wonโt catch their eye anymore
Just remember that for years phones with home buttons were the norm, with not many absolutely crazy changes from iPhone 4s to iPhone 6, even all the way to iPhone 8. They were just better versions of the same phone, but then iPhone X came out and a new era started. Perhaps folding phones will be the next generation of phones, you never know. Just remember that, even if itโs out of the blue, thereโs always going to be a better, newer version of phones.
Have we reached peak TV, Camera, and even drones?
Features i want in smartphone
X ray camera
Night vision camera
Distance measurement camera
Microscope and telescope inbuilt
Metal detecter
Thermometer, thermal gun/heat scanner temperature map
Radiation meter
Fire alarm/gas detector/identifier
Chemical detection and identification
Inbuilt projector/hologram
Tv/radio
Sonar/lidar (enemy flying object detection)
Laser print direct to paper through flash
Inbuilt scanner
Laser lighter/cutter
Wakitakie
Infrared controller
Acceleration or Speed,Depth,height,pressure,humidity,proximity,motion,gravity,touch,wave,vibration,temperature….all sensors
Security alarm warning for unknown person use or even just touch
Through finger print and face detection
And all of them in all in one inbuilt
Ever heard of Moore's Law?
Are we at peak smartphone?
Marques : yeah, but no, but yeah, but no, but yeah, but no, but yeah, but no
What I find to be annoying is that companies dont understand how releasing a new flagship severly devalues the flagship from last year and they continue to sell them at the same release price. If you release a new product you have to understand that it devalues the last generation because it no longer has the most up to date specs or the newest features and therefore the social value that goes along with it. It really pisses me off that phones from 2 – 3 years ago still sell within the same price bracket (ish) as when they were first released despite having 2 new versions.
It wouldn't seem like "peak smartphone" if companies waited more than 9 months to release a flagship Because then they could take the time to actually improve shit
It's just a bump in the road because why would you make a much better phone when you can make a slightly better phone and make more profit?
We aren't at peak smartphone, smartphone companies just release the similar phones every year with minor improvements so it seems like we aren't really getting huge changes in new flagships.
Apple is probably the best example of this- The iPhone 6 was pretty much the first big change in their flagship phone then after 3 years, the iPhone x was a big change, now 3 years later we still have the pretty much the same phone with some software and durability improvements.